EFFECT OF RAINFALL VARIABILITY ON CROP PRODUCTIVITY IN IDOFIAN, KWARA STATE, NIGERIA
Keywords:
Rainfall variability and distribution, specific rainfall threshold, yieldAbstract
Rainfall data for Idofian were analyzed for monthly and weekly rainfall probabilities at various thresholds
and correlated with yield. The mean annual rainfall is 1195 mm with a coefficient of variation (CV) of
19.6% while the mean weekly rainfall is 21.5 mm with a CV of 56% indicating very high weekly rainfall
variability. 40% of the years received rainfall above annual mean value which was distributed unevenly
during the cropping season. The months of May to September had high probabilities of occurrence with
September having the highest for the thresholds considered. Positive correlation between yield and rainfall
was recorded for cowpea, melon, rice. The predictability of yield using rainfall was however, low.